简介：ApossiblemechanismisputforwardinthispaperforElNinoeventsfromtheviewpointofplatetec-tonicsandoceanicgeology.Anumberofthedataarecitedtoillustratetheviewsthatsea-bottomvolcanicac-tivitiesandhotspringsmaycauseElNinoevents.

简介：ElNinoaswellastheSouthernOscillationisoneofthestrongestsignalsknownsofaroverclimaticnoiseininterannualvariationsoftheatmosphereandoceans.Agreatnumberofstudieshaveshowndefinitelyrelationshipsbe-tweentheeventsandclimaticanomaliesinChina.Inthisreview,observationalresultsobtainedintherecentseveralyearsarefirstsummarized.ThenthepossiblephysicalmechanismsontheinfluenceofElNinoarepresentedand,finally,theassociatedproblemsarediscussed.

简介：Inthispaper,byusingspectralmethod,themonthly-andseasonal-scaleatmosphericdiabaticheatflow(ADHF)departurefieldsarediagnosedintheperiodof1964—1985with6ElNinoyearsand6anti-ElNinoyearsovertheNorthernhemisphere(NH).TheresultsshowthatElNinophenomenahavepronouncedinfluenceontheADHFdepar-turefields.Theresponseofatmosphereexhibitsapreferredarrangementoforganizingpositiveandnegativedeparturecentersatlow,middleandhighlatitudes.Inanti-ElNinoyears,theresponsehasthesameformsasinElNinoyears,butdeparturecentersareoppositeinphase.Furthermore,ADHFdepartureshowslow-frequencyoscillationinElNinoyearsandanti-ElNinoyears.ThecenterofdifferenceindeparturebetweenElNinoandanti-ElNinoyearsdisplaysabi-monthlyoscillation.Finally,throughair-seacorrelationanalysis,itispointedoutthattheSSTanomalyisthemostimportantcauseforADHFanomaly.

简介：OnthebasisofNOAA/CPCdataofseasurfacetemperatureanomalyintheNinoregionsduringJan.1950-Dec.2003,thewaveletpowerspectrumofSSTwerestudiedwithsignificanceandconfidencetestingatdifferentscalesinthispaper.ItshowsthattheSSTareprovidedwithmulti-timescalesstructurenestedoneanother,andvaryonscalesof2-7years,8-20yearsand＞30years.Themostsignificantvariationofthewarmandcoldepisodesisinthe4-yearbandofperiod.Thepower,frequencystructureandconfidenceofthesameepisodearedifferentindifferentNinoregions.TheintensityofoscillationsisincreasingatlowfrequencybandsanddecreasingathighfrequencybandsfromeasttowestintheNinoregions,especiallyafter1970.

简介：IthaslongbeenacknowledgedthattherearetwotypesofElNioevents,i.e.,theeasternPacificElNio(EE)andthecentralPacificElNio(CE),accordingtotheinitialpositionoftheanomalouswarmwateranditspropagationdirection.Inthispaper,theoceanicandatmosphericevolutionsandthepossiblemechanismsofthetwotypesofElNioeventswereexamined.ItisfoundthatalltheElNioevents,CEorEE,couldbeattributedtothejointimpactsoftheeastwardadvectionofwarmwaterfromthewesternPacificwarmpool(WPWP)andthelocalwarmingintheequatorialeasternPacific.BeforetheoccurrenceofCEevents,WPWPhadlongbeeninastateofbeinganomalouswarm,sothestrengthofeastwardadvectionofwarmwaterwasmuchstrongerthanthatofEE,whichplayedamajorroleintheformationofCE.WhilefortheEEevents,mostcontributioncamefromthelocalwarmingoftheequatorialeasternPacific.ItisfurtheridentifiedthattheimmediatecauseleadingtothedifferenceofthetwotypesofElNioeventswastheasynchronousvariationsoftheSouthernOscillation(SO)andtheNorthernOscillation(NO)asdefinedbyChenin1984.WhenthetransitionfromthepositivephaseoftheNO(NO+)toNO-waspriortothatfromSO+toSO-,therewouldbeeastwardpropagationofwesterlyanomaliesfromthetropicalwesternPacificinducedbyNOandhencethegrowthofwarmseasurfacetemperatureanomaliesinWPWPanditseastwardpropagation.ThiswasfollowedbylaggedSO-inducedweakeningofsoutheasttradewindsandlocalwarmingintheequatorialeasternPacific.ThesewereconducivetotheoccurrenceoftheCE.Onthecontrary,thetransitionfromSO+toSO-leadingthetransitionofNOwouldfavortheoccurrenceofEEtypeevents.

简介：WestatisticallyanalyzethetropicaltyphoonformingintheSouthChinaSeaanduseTC(TropicalCyclone)forshortinthefollowing)bytyphoonyearbook.Thetyphoonquantityisverydifferentindifferentmonthsandyears.TCappearsinallmonthsexceptMarch,andthemostTCquantityinayearis11,theleastis1and6.2onaverage.ThemostTCquantityinamonthis5andtheleastis0.TClandsmostinAugustandnoTClandsonChinesecontinentfromDecembertothefollowingApril.TheprimarylandingareaisbetweenShantouandHainanIsland.ThesustainingperiodofTCisusuallybetween4daysto7days,andthelongestis19days.Only15%oftheTCformingintheSouthChinaSeacanintensifytotyphoon,andtheyallformintheoceanareadeeperthan150m.TheSouthChinaSeaistheoceanareaoverwhichtheTCoccursfrequently.

简介：统计、典型年的作文方法被用来与ElNino和LaNifia事件在关系学习西北太平洋台风活动。结果显示台风趋于在ElNifio年里不活跃并且在拉·尼娜年和它里活跃也依赖于事件的发作和台风的开始的区域。与在频率和海面温度(SST)之间的ElNifio和拉·尼娜年和时间落后关联里的台风活动的频率的统计特征。有用信息被为台风出现的预言提供。另外，单个价值拆卸(SVD)方法被使用学习在重力势领域和SST地之间的关联。结果证明在ElNino年里的由空至海的联合是相反的让台风发展，它与一个更小的数字发生。相反的状况与拉·尼娜年被发现。

简介：Basedonaseriesofdataanalyses,theintimaterelationsbetweenanomalouswintermonsooninEastAsiaandElNinoarcstudiedinthispaper.AnomalisticcirculationintheNorthernHemispherecausedbyElNinoeventcanleadtoenhancingtheFerre!cellandthewesterliesinthemid-latitudesastheHadleycellandresultinthelocationofthefrontzoneinEastAsiatothenorth.TheseareunfavourableforthecoldwavebreakingoutsouthwardinEastAsia.Therefore,thereatewarmerweatherandweakerwintermonsooninEastAsiainElNinowinter.TherearestrongerandfrequentcoldwavesinEastAsiaduringthewintertimepriortotheoccurrenceofElNinoevent.TheywillinducestrongerwintermonsooninEastAsia.Thus,theweakenedtradewindandenhancedcumulusconvectionintheequatorialmiddle-westernPacificareacausedbythestrongerwintermonsoonwillplayanimportantroleintheoccurrenceofElNinoevent.Therefore,theanomalouslystrongwintermonsooninEastAsiaduringwinter

简介：Acoupledmodel,whichisemployedtostudythedominatingfactorandkeyareaofElNinocycleformation,consistsofadynamicaloceanmodelandastatisticalatmosphericmodel.ThecoupledmodelwithseasonalforcingsuccessfullyreproducestheElNinoeventcyclewhichexhibitsquasi-regularoscillationswithapreferredperiodofabout4years.Theresultsshowthattheheatcontent(HC)istransportedbetweentheeasternandthewesterntropicalPacificareas.ThespatialdistributionofHCanomaliesforfourphasesofthewholecycleclearlyshowsapossibleformationmechanismofElNino.ExperimentsfurthersuggestthatseasurfacetemperatureinthetropicalPacificandHCinthecentraltropicalPacificarethemostimportantfactorsandthecentraltropicalPacificisthemostimportantareafordeterminingformationofElNinocycle.

简介：Byusingtheupper-winddatafromJuly1980toJune1983,thevariationsofthelow-frequencyoscillation(LFO)intheatmospherebeforeandduring1982ElNinohavebeeninvestigated.BeforetheElNino,theLFOpropagatesfromwesttoeastovertheequatoroftheEasternHemisphereandfromeasttowestover20°N.TheeastwardpropagatingLFOovertheequatorconsistsofzonalwavenumber1propagatingeastwardandzonalwavenumber2withacharacterofstationarywave.Theoscillationofzonalwavenumber2canmodulatetheoscillationstrength.AftertheonsetoftheElNino,thepropagatingdirectionsoftheLFOovertheequatorand20°NoftheEasternHemispherechangetobewestwardandeastward,respectively.TheLFOoverthewesternPacificweakensrapidlyandonecomingfrommiddleandhighlatitudespropagatestotheequator.Fromthephasecompositionsofstreamlinefieldsforthezonalwavenumber1ofequatorialwestwardpropa-gatirgLFO,itisfoundthattheatmosphericheatsourceintheequatoroftheeasternPacific(EEP)excitesaseriesoftheequatorialcyclonesandanticycloneswhichmovenorthwardandwestwardandformthewestwardpropagatingLFOovertheequator.Withthewavelengthof20000km,thiskindofequatorialwaveissimilartothemixingRossby-gravitywave.Initswestwardandnorthwardmovement,thecirculationinEastAsiaismodified.ThismaybethemechanismoftheinfluenceofElNinoontheclimateofChina.

简介：

简介：

简介：利用1961~2014年春季宁夏20个气象站的降水及NCEP再分析等资料,重点分析了不同分布型ElNino事件次年宁夏春季降水的差异。结果表明：由于ElNino事件在1990年代以后主要转为中部型,宁夏春季降水对ElNino的响应也发生了变化,由之前在ElNino发生次年春季降水偏多,转为次年春季降水偏少。东部型和混合型ElNino事件次年春季,500hPa高度距平场上欧亚中高纬地区环流分布及700hPa水汽输送条件,均有利于宁夏出现降水;而中部型ElNino事件次年春季,青藏高原南侧以偏西风为主,青藏高原东南侧相对湿度较低,不利于宁夏春季出现降水。

简介：

简介：DuringthedevelopingphaseofcentralPacificElNio(CPEN),morefrequentTCgenesisoverthenorthwestquadrantofthewesternNorthPacific(WNP)isattributedtothehorizontalshiftofenvironmentalvorticityfield.SuchanorthwestwardshiftresemblestheLaNiacomposite,eventhoughfactorsthatcausetheshiftdiffer(intheLaNiacasetherelativehumidityeffectiscrucial).GreaterreductionofTCfrequencyoverWNPhappenedduringthedecayingphaseofeasternPacificElNio(EPEN)thanCPEN,duetothedifferenceoftheanomalousPhilippineSeaanticyclonestrength.TheTCgenesisexhibitsanupward(downward)trendoverthenorthern(southern)partoftheWNP,whichislinkedtoSSTandassociatedcirculationchangesthroughlocalandremoteeffects.

简介：ThenormalmodemethodisadoptedtodecomposethedifferencesbetweensimulationswithSST(seasurfacetemperature)anomahesovercentra-easternPacificandnormalSSTbyuseofanine-layerglobalspec-tralmodelinordertoinvestigateshort-rangeclimaticoscillationwithvarioustimescalesforcedbyElNinoduringthenorthernsummer.InvestigationshowsthatElNinomayhavethefollowinginfluenceonatmosphereonvariousspace-timescales.Extra-longwavecomponentsofRossbymodeforcedbyconvectiveanomalyoverequatorialwesternPacificresultingfromElNinoproduceclimaticoscillationonmonthly(sea-sonal)timescaleinmiddle-highlatitudesofSouthernandNorthernHemispheres;extra-longwavecomponentsofKelvinmodeforcedbySSTanomaliespropagatealongtheequator,resultingin30—60dayoscillationoftropicalandsubtropicalatmosphere;anditslongwavesmoveeastwardwithwesterly,resultinginquasi-biweekoscillation.

简介：A6-layer,4°×5°horizontalresolutionglobaloceanmodelhasbeendesignedandimproved.Aftera100-yearin-tegration,anequilibriumstatehasbeenreachedfromtheuppertolowerlayers.Bytakingthemeanstateoflastl0mod-elyearsasclimaticstate,weanalyzedthecharacteristicsoftheseasonalvariationinourmodelintegration.Theresultsshowthatthesimulatedseasonalvariationissimilartotheobserved.Sothedesignofourmodelissuccessful.Then,us-ingthesimulatedclimaticstateoftheseasonalvariationastheinitialstate,andtheobservedstressandthermalstateastheatmosphericforcing,wesimulatedtheprocessofElNinoin1972—1973successfully.Thesimulatedresultsofsea-sonalvariationusingourmodelwillbepresentedinpartI.

简介：根据赤道东太平洋海温开始增温位置不同，可将E1Nino事件分为两类，本文运用χ^2检验分析这两类E1Nino事件与杭州降水，气温的相关关系，分析结果表明，两类E1Nino事件与杭州汛期降水和全年降水量以及7月平均气温关系密切。