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简介：ThispaperanalyzestheimpactsofurbanizationandunemploymentrateonChina’sdivorceratewiththepaneldataof31Chineseprovincesfrom2000to2011.Thestudymanifestsasfollows.First,thesignificantinfluenceofurbanizationcannotbeobservedontherisingbreakdownsincethelatterisnottheinevitableresultoftheformer.Inthesecondplace,unemploymentratehasasignificantnegativeinfluenceondivorcerate,namely,withtheformerincreasing,thelatterwilldecrease,whichechoestheperspectiveofdivorcecost.Andfinally,thispaperalsofindspositiveeffectsofpercapitafixedinvestment,old-agedependencyrate,averagehouseholdsize,theproportionoffloatingpopulationandpopulationdensity,andnegativecorrelationofaverageeducationattainmentondivorcerate.

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简介：Thechangesinlaborsupplyanddemandareimportantfactorsaffectingeconomicgrowth.ThepurposeofthispaperistopredictandanalyzethetrendsinChina'slaborsupplyanddemandduringthe13thFive-YearPlanperiodandthelongerperiodinthefuture.Thescaleandstructureoftheannualnewentrantsoflaborforcearepredictedbyaccountingthenumberswhoareleavingfromvariousstagesofeducation.whiletrendsoflabordemandarepredictedaccordingtoemploymentelasticityfromtheexperienceofindustrializationofdevelopedcountries.Theresultsshowthat,duringthe13thFiveYearPlanperiod.thescaleofthenewaddedlaborwoulddecreaseslightly,withanaverageannualincrementofaround15.68million.Atthesametime.labordemandwouldincreasesteadily,withannually15.42millionemploymentopportunities.Laborsupplyanddemandwouldberoughlybalanced;however,therewouldbeincreasingstructuralcontradictionsofthelabormarket.Basedontheanalysisoflaborsupplyanddemand,weprovideanestimationoftheunemploymentscaleofthe40'sand50'sgenerations,migrantworkersandcollegegraduates,anddiscusspolicysuggestionsonpromotingemploymentofcollegegraduates.