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  • 简介:摘要本文利用Intervention-ARIMA模型对河北省FDI(外商直接投资额)(1994-2009年)时间序列进行了动态拟合,重点考虑了1997年中期爆发的亚洲金融危机对河北省FDI的干预影响,取得了较好的拟合效果,并预测了河北省未来几年的招商引资情况的发展趋势。通过分析得出未来几年河北省的引资状况发展良好,而如何有效的利用则成为不容回避的问题。

  • 标签: FDI Intervention-ARIMA 预测Key words FDI intervention-ARIMA forecast
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  • 简介:<正>Withincreasingattentiongiventothedevelopmentandimplementationofpsychologicalinterventionsduringthesportinjuryrehabilitationprocess,thereisaneedtodocumenttheeffectivenessoftheseinterventions.Thepurposeofthisreviewwastosummarizetheempiricalfindingsoftheeffectsofpsychologicalinterventionsinreducingpost-injurypsychologicalconsequencesandimprovingpsychologicalcopingduringtheinjuryrehabilitationprocessamongcompetitiveandrecreationalathletes.InFebruary2012,utilizingacomprehensivesearchstrategy,weconductedelectronicsearchesofmultipleelectronicdatabasesforrandomizedandnonrandomizedcontroltrialsthatevaluatedinterventionstargetingpopulationsofinjuredcompetitiveandrecreationalathletesage17yearsandolder.Weincludedinterventionsthatdirectlyinterveneoninjuredathletes’psychologicaloutcomes(e.g.,psychologicalconsequences,psychologicalcopingandre-injuryanxiety)andutilizedpsychologicalstrategiesincludingimagery,goal-setting,relaxation,andothercommontechniquesduringthepost-injuryrehabilitationperiod.Sixstudies,describedinsevenpeer-reviewedpublishedarticles,metstudyinclusioncriteriaandwereincludedinthisreview.Ofthosestudies,twoincludedrandomizedcontroltrials,twousedbeforeandafterstudydesignsandtwowerecasestudydesigns.Twointerventionsutilizedguidedimageryandrelaxation,twointerventionsutilizedgoal-settingandoneeachutilizedmicrocounseling,writtendisclosure,andacceptanceandcommitmenttherapy.Guidedimagery/relaxationwasshowntobeassociatedwithimprovedpsychologicalcopingandreducedre-injuryanxiety.Goalsetting,however,wasnotdirectlyassociatedwiththereductionofnegativepsychologicalconsequences.Otherpsychologicaltechniquessuchasmicrocounselingskills,acceptanceandcommitmenttherapy,andwrittendisclosurehavedemonstratedeffectivenessinreducingnegativepsychologicalconsequences,improvingpsychologicalcoping,andreducing

  • 标签: INTERVENTION PSYCHOLOGICAL CONSEQUENCE PSYCHOLOGIC
  • 简介:Auditoryneuropathy(AN)isahearingdisordercharacterizedbyabsenceofauditorybrainstemresponsesdespitepreservationofouterhaircellfunction,andhasattractedattentionsfromresearchersandaudiologistssincereportedbyStarretal[1].ClinicalmanifestationsinANpatientsincludeabnormalauditorybrainstemresponsesnormalotoacousticemissions,lackofacousticreflexeslargecochlearmicrophonics,speechperceptiondeteriora

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  • 简介:AbstractBackground:COVID-19 can lead to increased psychological symptoms such as post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), depression, and anxiety among patients with COVID-19. Based on the previous mindfulness-based interventions proved to be effective, this protocol reports a design of a randomized controlled trial aiming to explore the efficacy and possible mechanism of a mindful living with challenge (MLWC) intervention developed for COVID-19 survivors in alleviating their psychological problems caused by both the disease and the pandemic.Methods:In April 2021, more than 1600 eligible participants from Hubei Province of China will be assigned 1:1 to an online MLWC intervention group or a waitlist control group. All participants will be asked to complete online questionnaires at baseline, post-program, and 3-month follow-up. The differences of mental health status (e.g. PTSD) and physical symptoms including fatigue and sleeplessness between the COVID-19 survivors who receiving the online MLWC intervention and the control group will be assessed. In addition, the possible mediators and moderators of the link between the MLWC intervention and target outcomes will be evaluated by related verified scales, such as the Five Facets Mindfulness Questionnaire. Data will be analyzed based on an intention-to-treat approach, and SPSS software will be used to perform statistical analysis.Discussion:The efficacy and potential mechanism of MLWC intervention in improving the quality of life and psychological status of COVID-19 survivors in China are expected to be reported. Findings from this study will shed light on a novel and feasible model in improving the psychological well-being of people during such public health emergencies.Trial registrationChinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR), ChiCTR2000037524; Registered on August 29, 2020, http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=60034.

  • 标签: COVID-19 Internet Mindfulness-based intervention Mental health Randomized controlled trial China
  • 简介:BackgroundShort-termhospitalreadmissionsafterpercutaneouscoronaryintervention(PCI)accountforhighermedicalcostsandpoorprognosisofpatientswithcoronaryarterydisease(CAD).However,patientsathighriskforreadmissionarenotyetidentified.MethodsAtotalof1416patientssuccessfullytreatedwithPCIwereincluded.Dataofage,sex,presentationtypeofCAD,cardiacfunction,coexistentdiseases,contrastdose,numbersoflesionsandstentsimplanted,procedurecomplication,out-of-hospitalmedicationwerecollected.Coxregressionmodelwasemployedtoanalyzethemultiplefactorsinfluencingreadmission.Results75.8%ofallreadmissionswereduetoCADandtheaveragereadmissiontimewas422days.UnivariateanalysisandmultivariateCoxregressionmodeleventuallyshowedthatpatientswithanyprocedurecomplicationsand/ormorelesionsinnumberwereathigherriskforreadmissionwhileolderage,smoke,urgentPCIandmorestentsimplantedpreventedthemfromreadmitting.ConclusionThemajorcauseofreadmissionafterPCIisstillCADitself.DuringtheindexhospitalizationofPCI,patientswithmulti-vesseldiseaseneedcarefultreatmentandprocedurecomplicationsshouldbepreventedinordertoextendtheintervalofreadmission.

  • 标签: 冠状动脉疾病 再入 影响因素 COX回归模型 介入治疗 血管病变
  • 简介:<正>Purpose:Thepurposeofthepresentstudywastoexaminetheeffectsofa24-weekTaiChiexerciseinterventiononbalanceandotherphysicalchangessuchasflexibilityandreactiontime(RT)amonghealthyoldermales.Methods:Thirty-eightmalesubjectsaged55—65yearswithoutpriorTaiChiexperiencewererecruitedfromalocalcommunityinShanghai,China.A60-minTaiChiexercisesessionwasperformedthreetimesaweekfor24weeks.ChangesinRT,sit-and-reachflexibilityandbalance(staticbalancewitheyesopenandclosedrespectively)weremeasuredbeforeandaftertheTaiChiintervention.Results:Afterthe24-weekTaiChiintervention,thechoiceRT(p<0.05)decreased,andsit-and-reachflexibilityimproved(p<0.01)overthepre-test(7.8±6.2vs.7.1±3.0cm).Swaylength,area,X-axisdeviationamplitudeandK-axisdeviationamplitudeperformancedecreasedsignificantlyaftertheinterventionwithadouble-footstancewitheyesopen(p<0.05).Swaylength,areaandaverageswayspeedshowedastatisticallysignificantdecreaseaftertheinterventionwiththedouble-footstancewitheyesclosed.Inthesingle-footstancewitheyesopencondition,swaylengthandaverageswayspeedshowedastatisticallysignificantdecrease(p<0.05).Conclusion:The24-weekTaiChiexerciseinterventionhadapositiveinfluenceonbalancecontrolinoldermales.

  • 标签: BALANCE EXERCISE INTERVENTION OLDER males TAI
  • 简介:了解农资产品市场价格变化规律,预测农资产品市场价格变化趋势,将有利于正确引导农资产品流通和农业生产,实现农资产品区域供求平衡,并为政府和农户提供结构调整的依据。针对农资产品价格这一重要问题,本文以全国尿素零售价格为例,构建非平稳时间序列ARIMA(p,d,q)模型,描述并预测化肥零售价格的动态变化。结果表明ARlMA(0,2,1)模型能很好地模拟并预测化肥零售价格趋势,为农资产品市场信息的准确预测提供重要方法。

  • 标签: 化肥价格 ARIMA模型 价格预测
  • 简介:Man-madeforest,whichistheforestecosystemofrehabilitationandreconstruction,playsasignificantroleintheprovisionofforestproductsandimprovementtheecologicalenvironment.Inthispaper,weestablishedtheAR(5)modeltopredictChina'sforestareafrom2009to2015.Thisstudyshowstheslowgrowthofthenationalplantationareatrendwithsomefluctuations,buttheoverallgrowthrateisnotlarge.WeproposedthatononehandChinashouldcontinuetoincreasetheplantationarea,ont...

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  • 简介:Dataontheprevalenceofdepressioninadultcongenitalheartdisease(ACHD)patientsdifferwidely.Weaimtosummarizethebestavailableinformationontheprevalenceofdepression,itsprognosticimpact,andpsychiatricinterventionsfordepressedACHDpatients.WereviewedreferencesinrelevantpublicationsuptoOctober17,2017.Forhomogeneityofdata,studiesinwhichdepressionwasindependentlyassessedinpatientsaged18yearsorolderorwithamean/medianageolderthan18yearswereincluded.Retrospectiveandpostoperativeevaluationstudieswereexcluded.Twentypublicationsmetthesecriteria.StudysamplesincludedACHDpatientsfollowedupatACHD-specializedhospitalsin13countries.Theprevalenceofdepressiondifferedwidely,rangingfrom6to69%.Depressionhasbeenshowntobeanindependentpredictorofadverseclinicaloutcomes.Itisalsofrequentlyassociatedwithotherprognosticvariables(i.e.,poorfunctionalclass,unfavorableperceivedhealthstatus,andlowqualityoflife).Currently,norandomizedclinicaltrialsonpsychiatricinterventionsinACHDareavailable.Insummary,depressionishighlyprevalentinACHDpatients,yetitisoftenunrecognizedanduntreated.Theadverseprognosticimpactofdepressioncallsforspecializedpsychiatricinterventions,forwhichmoreresearchisneededintheACHDpatientpopulation.

  • 标签: DEPRESSION ADULT CONGENITAL heart disease
  • 简介:Cardiaccatheterizationandpercutaneouscoronaryinterventionplayanimportantroleinthemanagementofcoronaryarterydisease.Althoughthetransfemoralapproachhasbeenthetraditionallydominantmethod,therehasbeenanincreasedutilizationofthetransradialapproach.Multipleobservationalstudiesandrandomizedclinicaltrialshaveshownfewerbleedingcomplications,reducedmorbidityandmortality,improvedqualityoflife,andbettereconomicoutcomeswhenthetransradialapproachisutilizedwhencomparedtothetransfemoralapproach.Despiteitsmanybenefits,utilizationofthisapproachincertaincountriesincludingtheUnitedStateshasbeenlessthanoptimalduetoaloweradoptionratesmostlydrivenbylackoftrainingopportunitiesanddecreasedawarenessofclinicalbenefitsofthetransradialapproach.Inthisreview,thehistory,observationaltrends,efficacy,andtechnicalaspectsoftransradialcardiaccatheterizationandpercutaneouscoronaryinterventionarediscussed.

  • 标签: TRANSRADIAL vascular access CARDIAC CATHETERIZATION PERCUTANEOUS
  • 简介:AbstractTraumatic peripheral vascular injury is a significant cause of disability and death either in civilian environments or on the battlefield. Penetrating trauma and blunt trauma are the most common forms of vascular injuries. Besides, iatrogenic arterial injury (IAI) is another pattern of vascular trauma. The management of peripheral vascular injuries has been improved in different environments and wars. There are different types of vascular injuries, such as vasospasm, contusion, intimal flaps, intimal disruption or hematoma, external compression, laceration, transection and focal wall defects, etc. The main clinical manifestations of vascular injuries are shock following massive hemorrhage and limb necrosis due to tissue and organ ischemia. Ultrasound, computed tomography angiography (CTA) and magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) are most valuable for assessment of peripheral vascular injuries. Angiography remains the gold standard for diagnosing vascular trauma. Immediate hemorrhage control and rapid restoration of blood flow are the primary goals of vascular trauma treatment. There are many operative treatment methods for vascular injuries, such as vascular suture or ligation, vascular wall repair and vascular reconstruction with blood vessel prostheses or vascular grafts. Embolization, balloon dilation and covered stent implantation are the main endovascular techniques. Surgical operation is still the primary treatment for vascular injuries. Endovascular treatment is a promising alternative, proved to be safe and effective, and preferred selection for patients. In summary, rapid diagnosis and timely surgical intervention remain the mainstays of the treatment. However, many issues need to be resolved by further studies.

  • 标签: Endovascular procedures Surgical procedures Operative Peripheral vascular trauma
  • 简介:Commonpracticedictatestheperformanceofpercutaneouscoronaryinterventionunderconventionalangiographicguidance.Withstudiessuggestingthehighincidenceofintraobservervariability,especiallyinangiographicborderlinelesions,newmodalitiessuchasintravascularultrasound(IVUS)guidanceduringpercutaneouscoronaryinterventionhavesurfaced.MultiplestudieshaveshownimprovedoutcomeswithIVUSguidance,mainlydrivenbyadecreaseinischemia-driventargetlesionrevascularization.Inthepasttwodecades,amultitudeofstudieshaveinvestigatedtheusesandclinicaloutcomesassociatedwiththistechnology.Inthisreview,wehighlighttheutility,advantages,economicimplications,andclinicaloutcomesofIVUSguidanceoverstandardangiographicguidance,withemphasisondataastheypertaintoIVUS-guidedstentimplantation.

  • 标签: BARE metal STENT DRUG-ELUTING STENT INTRAVASCULAR