摘要
Meansealevelriseandclimatologicalwindspeedchangesoccuraspartoftheongoingclimatechangeandfutureprojectionsofbothvariablesarestillhighlyuncertain.HeretheBalticSea'sresponseinextremesealevelstoperturbationsinmeansealevelandwindspeedsisinvestigatedinaseriesofsimulationswithanewlydevelopedstormsurgemodelbasedonthenucleusforEuropeanmodelingoftheocean(NEMO)-Nordic.Asimplelinearmodelwithonlytwotunableparametersisfoundtocapturethechangesinthereturnlevelsextremelywell.Theresponsetomeansealevelriseislinearandnearlyspatiallyuniform,meaningthatameansealevelriseof1mincreasesthereturnlevelsbyaequalamounteverywhere.Theresponsetowindspeedperturbationsismorecomplicatedandreturnlevelsarefoundtoincreasemorewheretheyarealreadyhigh.ThisbehaviourisalarmingasitsuggeststhatalreadyfloodingproneregionsliketheGulfofFinlandwillbedisproportionallyadverselyaffectedinafuturewindierclimate.
出版日期
2018年06月16日（中国期刊网平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）
