摘要
Usingthehigh-qualityobservedmeteorologicaldata,changesofthethermalconditionsandprecipitationovertheNorthChinaPlainfrom1961to2009wereexamined.Trendsofaccumulatedtemperatureandnegativetemperature,growingseasonduration,aswellasseasonalandannualrainfallsat48stationswereanalyzed.Theresultsshowthattheaccumulatedtemperatureincreasedsignificantlyby348.5℃dayduetoglobalwarmingduring1961-2009whiletheabsoluteaccumulatednegativetemperaturedecreasedapparentlyby175.3℃day.Thestartofgrowingseasondisplayedasignificantnegativetrendof-14.3daysduring1961-2009,buttheendofgrowingseasondelayedinsignificantlyby6.7days.Asaresult,thelengthofgrowingseasonincreasedby21.0days.Theannualandautumnrainfallsdecreasedslightlywhilesummerrainfallandsummerrainydaysdecreasedsignificantly.Incontrast,springrainfallincreasedslightlywithoutsignificanttrends.AlltheresultsindicatethatthethermalconditionswereimprovedtobenefitthecropgrowthovertheNorthChinaPlainduring1961-2009,andthedecreasingannualandsummerrainfallshadnodirectnegativeimpactonthecropgrowth.ButthedecreasingsummerrainfallwaslikelytoinfluencethewaterresourcesinNorthChina,especiallytheundergroundwater,reservoirwater,aswellasriverrunoff,whichwouldhaveinfluencedtheirrigationofagriculture.
出版日期
2011年04月14日(中国期刊网平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)